A prediction market for people who care about being right.
Calibr adds confidence and memory to predictions — rewarding skill, not luck.
What Calibr focuses on
A different approach to prediction markets—one built on judgment, not gambling.
Confidence matters
Express how sure you are, not just what you believe. Your confidence level determines your stake.
Reputation compounds
Build a track record over time. Consistent calibration unlocks higher confidence caps.
Skill > noise
Long-term thinkers win. No lucky streaks—just genuine forecasting ability.
How it works
Four simple steps to start building your forecasting reputation.
Predict YES or NO
Browse markets and make predictions on real-world events.
Choose your confidence
Slide from 50% to your max unlocked confidence level.
Higher confidence = higher risk
More confidence means more at stake if you're wrong.
Outcomes update reputation
Your reputation reflects how well-calibrated you are over time.
What makes it different
Calibr is designed for thoughtful forecasters, not gamblers.
No reckless all-ins
Confidence caps protect you from overconfidence. Earn higher limits over time.
No forgetting history
Your track record follows you. Every prediction builds your reputation.
Long-term thinkers win
Calibr rewards patience and precision, not impulsive bets.